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Check your printing6 different Mega Charizard X ex printings exist — is this your card? Phantasmal Flames #125
Mega Charizard X ex Phantasmal Flames #125 Pokémon card
Special Illustration Rare

Mega Charizard X ex

Phantasmal Flames · 125/94 · Illustrated by danciao
360 HPFirePokémonStage 2MEGAex

Market value · ungraded

$745.01 10.8% · 30d
Confidencehigh
Sales · 90 days12
Last sale$804 Raw · 27 Jun 2026
Range$695$745
Cert-verified10 PSA sales
Sold prices, not asking. eBay + TCGplayer. Updated 20 August 2026. 2 sources agree within 6%. Estimate, not an appraisalhow we price →

What's your copy worth?

What's your copy worth?
Not sure which condition? Grade it from a photo
Estimated value · Near Mint
$745

What this price is based on

High confidence

118 sales in 90 days, closely clustered.

Median · Raw$795120 sales
Trimmed mean$787outliers removed
Range$499$1,700lowest to highest sale
Sales rate146/mo885 recorded

Recent Raw sales

  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Mega Charizard X EX SIR 125/094 Phantasmal Flames English NEAR MINTNM$726
  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Mega Charizard X EX SIR 125/094 Phantasmal Flames English NEAR MINTNM$741
  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — Pokemon Mega Charizard X EX 125/094 Phantasmal Flames PFL$794
  • Aug 15, 2026eBay — Mega Charizard X EX 125/094 Me02 Phantasmal Flames Holo English 360HP Takuyoa$750
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Mega Charizard X EX SIR 125/094 Phantasmal Flames English PACK FRESHNM$895
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — 2025 Pokemon Phantasmal Flames #125/094 Mega Charizard X ex Special Illustration$800
  • Aug 14, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Mega Charizard X EX Phantasmal Flames 125/094 Holo Rare$720
  • Aug 13, 2026eBay — Pokemon TCG Mega Charizard X EX SIR 125/094 Phantasmal Flames English NEAR MINTNM$900

By grade

  • PSA 10$2,050272 sales
  • CGC 10$1,170157 sales
  • PSA 9$790137 sales
  • Raw$795120 sales
  • CGC 9$75062 sales
  • CGC 9.5$75028 sales
  • BGS 10$2,96319 sales
  • BGS 9.5$1,30018 sales

From 885 completed sales recorded between Nov 24, 2025 and Aug 15, 2026. Sold prices only — asking prices are never counted.

Grade it or not

GRADE IT

Based on 745 graded sales and 5,151,396 pop-report entries for a near-mint copy.

See the numbers — Trader plan and above

Buy this card

ViewingRaw / ungraded (this page)PSA 10 price pagePSA 9 price page

Is it worth it?

An AI market read of this card — value, momentum, grading economics, liquidity. It lays out the data; you decide.

Sign in to analyse

Mega Charizard X ex is a Special Illustration Rare Pokémon card from Phantasmal Flames (#125), illustrated by danciao. It's a Stage 2 MEGA ex Fire-type Pokémon with 360 HP, evolving from Charmeleon, weak to Water ×2. Its current blended market value is $745.01 ungraded, with a PSA 10 worth around $2,000 — a gem-mint grading premium of roughly 3× the raw value. Prices are aggregated across marketplaces — raw and graded, updated daily and shown in your local currency.

Prices last updated 20 August 2026.

0.4%
Played in 0.4% of competitive decks — 12 of 3,174 decklists across the last 41 Standard tournaments.

The receipts

Price history · Raw

1 Nov 202520 Aug 2026
Latest
$745.01
Period high
$922.20
Period low
$573.18
Change
8.0%
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Verified sales history22 in 90 daysreal completed listings

Last sold
$800
Raw · 27 Jun 2026
Typical Raw
$804
Sales · last 90 days
12
How often it sells
Rarely sells
daily · 0 in last 30 days

Real completed eBay sales, refreshed periodically. Grade read from the listing title. Implausibly priced listings (lots, proxies, empty slabs) and wrong-variant sales are filtered out. Links to eBay are affiliate links — we may earn a commission.

DateGradePriceCert
16 Aug 2026PSA 10$3,060.00#147755752
16 Aug 2026PSA 10$2,550.00#151677348
16 Aug 2026PSA 10$2,275.00#163711801
16 Aug 2026PSA 10$4,250.00#160437348
16 Aug 2026PSA 10$1,999.95#162157541
16 Aug 2026PSA 10$1,980.00#162663013
16 Aug 2026PSA 9$700.00#148613347
16 Aug 2026PSA 9$800.00#161199840
16 Aug 2026PSA 9$744.99#154492163
16 Aug 2026PSA 9$810.00#162877190

Demand & liquidity

Thin · Rarely sellsDemand 37/100
Sales · 30d0
Sales · 90d12
Price momentum-11%
HypeOn the radar
PSA 10
$2,199
Raw
$804
RawNM
$804

Last sold $870 · PSA 9 · 27 Jun 2026

Should you grade it?

+$637

Expected return across every likely grade, after fees — the realistic average, not the best case. Only 60.2% of copies gem (PSA 10 best case +$1,130); most land at PSA 9 or below.

Gem rate (est.)60.2%
Expected return+$637
PSA 10 best case+$1,130
Break-evenPSA 10+
VerdictWorth grading

The odds

Mega Charizard X ex is a Secret / Rainbow in Phantasmal Flames — the pack's hit slot lands on Secret / Rainbow 2.5% of the time, split across 6 secret / rainbow cards in the set, so pulling this exact card is roughly 1 in 241 packs.

Secret / Rainbow2.5%6 cards
PSA 10 (gem mint)60.2%24,444 of 40,630
PSA 933.6%13,663 of 40,630
PSA graded so far40,630
Gem Mint 1024,444
Total graded40,630

Estimates only. Pack odds come from CardTrack's pack model (the same one behind the pack simulator) — not an official rate. Grading odds are the real cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies, so it overstates the true first-submission gem rate. Full grade-by-grade breakdown below.

Grade-by-grade ROI & risk-adjusted outcomesNet vs raw per target grade, plus the probability-weighted distribution
Target gradeEst. valueGrading feeNet vs rawMultiple
PSA 10$2,000.00$125+$1,1302.7×
PSA 9$765.00$88$681.0×
PSA 8$660.00$87$1720.9×

⚖️ Risk-adjusted return

Best case isn't the whole story. Weighting every grade by how often it actually happens, across 40,630 PSA-graded copies:

Likely outcomeChanceValue
PSA 1060.2%$2,000.00
PSA 933.6%$765.00
PSA ≤86.2%$745.00

Net = graded value − raw value − grading cost (tier fee + ~$20 round-trip shipping), using PSA fees as of 2026-06-28; the paused PSA Value tier is excluded so this isn't overstated. Gem rate is estimated from cumulative PSA population, which skews toward nicer, resubmitted copies — so it overstates the true grade rate. Treat it as a guide, not a guarantee.

Population across gradersPSA, CGC & BGS — every grade, with gem rates

Only 60% of 40,630 PSA-graded Mega Charizard X ex copies are a gem-mint 10 (24,444 of 40,630) — the rest grade lower.

PSA40,630 gradedPSA 10 · 24,444 · 60% gem
1024,444
913,663
8.52
81,936
7325
6145
564
427
38
23
12

Real graded population from PSA, CGC & BGS — a lower gem rate means a Mega Charizard X ex 10 is harder to pull.

Copies for sale right now

Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Prices shown are sold-based, not sponsored placements.

All grades & conditions

Every grade we pricePSA / CGC / BGS ladder with per-grade population
Graded prices
Ungraded (raw)$745.01
PSA graded price estimates by grade
GradeRelative valuePrice
PSA 10pop 24,444$2,000$1,700$2,300
PSA 9pop 13,66338 sold$765$650$880
PSA 8pop 1,9363 sold$660$561$759
PSA 5pop 64$660$660$660
“Sold” = median of real recent sold listings at that grade (eBay or Fanatics Collect — hover a badge to see which). Other figures are blended marketplace estimates. Confidence reflects source backing and price spread — not PSA-official values.
Raw condition ladderNM → damaged, with real sold medians where we have them
Raw price by condition
Holofoil · live market via TCGplayer
NMNear Mint$745.01
LPLightly Played$719.59
MPModerately Played$518.92
HPHeavily Played$399.98
DMGDamaged$370.80
7-day 3.0%
30-day 6.1%
90-day 0.5%
All-time high$875
All-time low$356
What NM / LP / MP actually mean — and how much they cost

For context: a graded PSA 7 slab of this card sells for about $678 (cert-verified) — a heavily-played raw copy shouldn't cost much more than that.

Market dataCross-market spread, EU price, momentum & community buzz

Cross-market prices

6% spread
TCGplayer · cheapest$695
PriceCharting · dearest$734

Currently 6% cheaper on TCGplayer than PriceCharting. These are independent market prices for the same card — a wide gap can mean a buying opportunity. Informational only, not arbitrage advice.

Market signal

Momentum · 30dFalling -11%
Cross-marketMarkets agree 6% gap

Derived from this card's 90-day price history, recent trend and cross-market price gap. Informational, not advice.

🔥 Trending in the community

#2 on the radar
Mentions this week25

Charizard is one of the most-talked-about Pokémon right now across the Pokémon investing & TCG subreddits. See the hype radar →

What people are saying: I had no clue my prized card was so sought after until today 😳 · 436↑

Card textAttacks, abilities, weakness / resistance / retreat

Evolves from Charmeleon.

Inferno X90×
Fire · Fire

Discard any amount of Fire Energy from among your Pokémon, and this attack does 90 damage for each card you discarded in this way.

Weakness Water ×2Retreat 2

Mega Evolution ex Rule: When your Mega Evolution Pokémon ex is Knocked Out, your opponent takes 3 Prize cards.

About the PokémonSpecies, generation, evolution line
Flame PokémonGEN ICharmanderCharmeleonCharizard

It is said that Charizard’s fire burns hotter if it has experienced harsh battles.

Card detailsSet, rarity, artist, Pokédex & specs
Number#125
RaritySpecial Illustration Rare
SupertypePokémon
SubtypesStage 2, MEGA, ex
TypeFire
HP360
Evolves fromCharmeleon
WeaknessWater ×2
Retreat cost2
National Pokédex#6
Card IDme2-125
SourceAggregated marketplaces

Other Mega Charizard X ex cards

There are 6 different Mega Charizard X ex printings — make sure you're valuing the right one. This is Phantasmal Flames #125 (Special Illustration Rare).

More from Phantasmal Flames

Frequently asked questions

How much is Mega Charizard X ex (Phantasmal Flames #125) worth?

As of 20 August 2026, Mega Charizard X ex from Phantasmal Flames is worth approximately $745.01 ungraded (near-mint), and around $2,000 in PSA 10 gem mint. Values are blended from real Cardmarket, eBay sold and TCGplayer prices and update daily.

What is the PSA 10 price for Mega Charizard X ex?

A PSA 10 (gem mint) Mega Charizard X ex from Phantasmal Flames is worth around $2,000 — roughly 3× the raw ungraded value of $745.01.

Should I grade my Mega Charizard X ex?

A PSA 10 sells for about $2,000 versus $745.01 raw — roughly a 3× uplift. Grading is worth it when that premium comfortably beats the grading fee and the card is clean enough to have a real shot at a 10. See the "Should you grade it?" estimate above for net profit per grade.

Is Mega Charizard X ex rare?

Mega Charizard X ex is a Special Illustration Rare card from Phantasmal Flames (card #125), illustrated by danciao. Its current blended market value is $745.01 ungraded.

Cite & embed this card

Free to use with attribution to CardTrack.

Citation
Mega Charizard X ex (Phantasmal Flames #125) — Pokémon market value $745.01, PSA 10 $2000.00. Source: CardTrack, https://cardtrack.com/pokemon/card/phantasmal-flames/mega-charizard-x-ex-125
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